When Is The Right Time To Buy Property?


Anyone who has been around long enough knows the answer to this old trick question. The answer is of course…

 

It’s always the right time to buy property!

 

Consider the following scenario’s.

Scenario 1: The market is booming!

Negative approach
  • “I might pay too much and then the market will fall right when I’ve bought at the top!” True, the market could tank and you could lose 10 – 20% in a year. But then when do you buy? Can you pick the bottom of the market too? Since property generally moves in 7 – 10 year cycles, you have a long wait ahead. Add up all the years of dead rent money (if you’re buying to occupy your first home), or the lost rental income (if you’re buying as an investment). 8 years of renting, moving, inspections etc… just so you don’t lose a few grand and get to say you weren’t suckered into buying at the top. Go ahead, add up your dead rent money plus a few hours a day – at your rate per hour – for all the frustration you feel over 8 years of missing out and be honest about what that number is. It’s a fair chance that’s it’s significantly more than the loss you might have avoided. 
Positive approach
  • Who is old enough to remember way back in the 1980’s when you could buy an average house well under $80,000 (in Australia). That was at the ‘top of the market’ too! Yet here we are today, and the average home is around 8 – 10 times that price (again, depending on where you live). If you are always fearful and trying to ‘time-the-market’, you might have to get used to sitting by and watching others get rich. Just buy and hold. It’s worked for so many of the wealthiest people that it’s beyond debate. We have clients who have held the same properties through real estate busts and 16% bank interest rates. They not only survived, but generally thrived because when the market bounces back, it does so with a vengeance!

Scenario 2: The market is falling!

Negative approach
  • “It’s not at the bottom yet, I still might pay too much!” True, the market could have further to go and someone else might buy cheaper than you did in the next few months. Friends, that’s just your ego talking. What if you’d paid $85,000 back in that 1980’s boom market? Would you still be beating yourself up for that extra $5,000 you paid today? Highly unlikely. In fact, if you’re honest, you’d probably wish you could go back and buy 10 houses!
Positive approach
  • Look how much I saved since it was at the top! I don’t know where the bottom is, but I’m really happy I’ve bought well. When the market does turn up again, I’m here, I’m in the market and I’ll be part of the next boom! So as the old saying goes; “It’s always the right time to buy property.”

Final thoughts

There is another approach in both the stock market and the real estate market. Put simply, it comes down to this; ‘timing the market‘ versus ‘time in the market‘. Over the past 30 years I can honestly say I’ve seen great successes with both. My first house nearly tripled in value in 5 years. That’s the power (and luck) of ‘timing the marketBut far and away, those who are extremely wealthy property owners today are nearly always those who have spent a long ‘time in the market‘. Buy your property well, and hold it forever! Do this, and the odds are in your favour to sail through any boom and bust property cycle. 

Conclusion

Timing the market is great… when you get it right. So is winning Lotto! But time in the market, is a winning strategy in property that always stands the test of time. Go long, stay strong!

Go long, stay strong!

 
 Got a different opinion? We’d love to hear it. 

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